Simple Setup Trading Research

SST Master Results

Combined performance results from 23 trading days,
330 identified setups and five fixed reward targets.

Performance Statistics

These results combine all analyzed SST setups from
July 29, 2025 through August 28, 2025 only between 10:30 AM EST to 2:30 PM EST every trading day.

23 – Trading Days
330 – All Setups
207 – With Trend
123 – Against Trend
14.35 – Average Setups Per Day

All Setups — Combined Results

Target Trades Wins–Losses Win Rate Gross Profit Gross Loss Costs Net Profit Profit Factor
1:1 330 281–49 85.15% $35,109.50 $6,123.50 $3,877.50 $25,108.50 5.73
1:2 330 228–102 69.09% $56,980.00 $12,743.00 $3,877.50 $40,359.50 4.47
1:3 330 172–158 52.12% $64,479.00 $19,740.00 $3,877.50 $40,861.50 3.27
1:4 330 140–190 42.42% $69,982.00 $23,737.50 $3,877.50 $42,367.00 2.95
1:5 330 114–216 34.55% $71,237.50 $26,985.50 $3,877.50 $40,374.50 2.64
Highest Win Rate – 1:1 — 85.15%
Highest Profit Factor – 1:1 — 5.73
Highest Net Profit – 1:4 — $42,367.00
Average Profit Per Setup – 1:4 — $128.38

**Important Setup Count Disclosure**

The total setup statistics evaluate every valid SST opportunity independently. They are designed to measure the complete statistical potential, frequency, and consistency of the SST setup.

These totals should not be interpreted as the number of trades one person could realistically execute on a single account. Multiple valid setups sometimes appeared while an earlier trade was still active, creating overlapping opportunities.

A separate one-trade-at-a-time analysis removes those overlapping setups by taking the first available trade, waiting until its selected profit target or stop loss is reached, and then taking the next setup that appears after the position has closed. This provides a more realistic representation of executable trade count, profit, and time in the market.

Only With Trend — Combined Results

Target Trades Wins–Losses Win Rate Gross Profit Gross Loss Costs Net Profit Profit Factor
1:1 207 178–29 85.99% $22,242.50 $3,624.50 $2,432.25 $16,185.75 6.14
1:2 207 160–47 77.29% $39,988.00 $5,873.00 $2,432.25 $31,682.75 6.81
1:3 207 125–82 60.39% $46,861.50 $10,246.50 $2,432.25 $34,182.75 4.57
1:4 207 108–99 52.17% $53,984.00 $12,371.00 $2,432.25 $39,180.75 4.36
1:5 207 89–118 43.00% $55,612.50 $14,744.50 $2,432.25 $38,435.75 3.77
Highest Win Rate – 1:1 — 85.99%
Highest Profit Factor – 1:2 — 6.81
Highest Net Profit – 1:4 — $39,180.75
Average Profit Per Trade – 1:4 — $189.28

Effect of the Trend Filter

Target All Setups Net With Trend Net Difference
1:1 $25,108.50 $16,185.75 −$8,922.75
1:2 $40,359.50 $31,682.75 −$8,676.75
1:3 $40,861.50 $34,182.75 −$6,678.75
1:4 $42,367.00 $39,180.75 −$3,186.25
1:5 $40,374.50 $38,435.75 −$1,938.75
The trend filter removed 123 setups, representing
37.3% of all opportunities. The WITH TREND approach
produced less total net profit at every target because it took substantially fewer
trades, but it improved win rate and profit factor at every target from 1:2 through 1:5.

Daily Consistency

All Setups

  • 1:1
    Profitable Days – 23 of 23
  • 1:2
    Profitable Days – 22 of 23
  • 1:3
    Profitable Days – 21 of 23
  • 1:4
    Profitable Days – 20 of 23
  • 1:5
    Profitable Days – 18 of 23

Only With Trend

  • 1:1
    Profitable Days23 of 23
  • 1:2
    Profitable Days23 of 23
  • 1:3
    Profitable Days – 19 of 23
  • 1:4
    Profitable Days – 18 of 23
  • 1:5
    Profitable Days – 16 of 23

What Stands Out Most

1

1:1 Was Extremely Consistent

Across all 330 setups, the 1:1 target generated an 85.15% win rate, a 5.73 profit factor and a profitable result on every one of the 23 analyzed days.

  • All Setups Win Rate: 85.15%
  • WITH TREND Win Rate: 85.99%
  • Profitable Days: 23 of 23
2

1:2 Offered the Strongest Balance

The 1:2 WITH TREND model combined the highest trend-only profit factor, a strong win rate, substantial net profitability and perfect daily consistency across the sample.

  • 160 Wins and 47 Losses
  • 77.29% Win Rate
  • 6.81 Profit Factor
  • $31,682.75 Net Profit
  • 23 Profitable Days out of 23
3

1:4 Produced the Highest Net Profit

The 1:4 target generated the highest estimated net profit for both the ALL SETUPS and ONLY WITH TREND approaches.

  • All Setups Net Profit: $42,367.00
  • WITH TREND Net Profit: $39,180.75
  • WITH TREND Win Rate: 52.17%
  • WITH TREND Profit Factor: 4.36
4

Trend Improved Trade Quality

Although the trend filter reduced total dollars by removing 123 setups, it raised win rate and profit factor at the larger targets while requiring far fewer trades.

  • Setups Removed: 123
  • Trades Reduced: 37.3%
  • 1:4 Average Profit Per Trade: $189.28
  • 1:4 WITH TREND Profitable Days: 18 of 23

Preliminary Conclusion

Highest Raw Profit

1:4 ALL SETUPS$42,367.00 estimated net profit

Best Overall Balance

1:2 WITH TRENDWin rate, profit factor and daily consistency

Strong Growth Model

1:4 WITH TRENDStrong profit with a 52.17% win rate

The Trend Filter Improved Quality More Than Total Dollars

Taking every setup produced more total net profit at all five targets because the additional against-trend trades contributed enough winners to increase the aggregate dollar result.

Trading only in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend reduced the sample by 123 trades, but increased win rate and profit factor at the 1:2, 1:3, 1:4 and 1:5 targets. The strongest raw-profit result was 1:4 ALL SETUPS, while 1:2 WITH TREND offered the strongest balance of accuracy, efficiency and consistency.

The 1:2 WITH TREND model produced a 77.29% win rate, a 6.81 profit factor and no losing days across the entire 23-day sample.

Historical research results are based on the analyzed sample and estimated trading costs. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

**Performance Analysis Disclosure**

These results evaluate every valid SST setup independently to measure the complete statistical performance and potential of the setup. Multiple opportunities may have occurred while another trade was already active, so the total setup count does not represent the number of trades one person could necessarily execute on a single account.

SST Trade Duration Analysis

Average and combined trade durations for winning and losing setups
across each SST risk-to-reward target.

Target Winners Avg Win Time Combined Win Time Losers Avg Loss Time Combined Loss Time
1 : 1 263 10.6 Minutes 46.5 Hours 48 21.3 Minutes 17.1 Hours
1 : 2 215 29.7 Minutes 106.3 Hours 96 40.4 Minutes 64.7 Hours
1 : 3 163 106.9 Minutes 290.5 Hours 148 76.5 Minutes 188.8 Hours
1 : 4 129 275.6 Minutes 592.6 Hours 182 131.1 Minutes 397.5 Hours
1 : 5 108 373.5 Minutes 672.2 Hours 203 221.4 Minutes 749.0 Hours

Trade Duration Statistics:

Average and combined trade durations are calculated from entry until
either the applicable profit target or stop loss was reached. Winning
statistics include only setups that successfully reached the specified
target. Losing statistics include setups that hit the stop before
reaching that target.

**Trade Duration Disclosure**

Trade-duration statistics include every valid SST setup independently. Because some setups overlapped, combined trade time represents the total duration of all recorded opportunities and not the actual number of clock hours one trader would have spent in the market.

SST Profit Efficiency Analysis

Total net profit and profit efficiency based on the combined recorded
duration of all winning and losing setups at each risk-to-reward target.

Target Net Profit Combined Trade Time Net Profit Per Combined Trade Hour
1 : 1 $24,849.00 69.5 Hours $357.80 Per Hour
1 : 2 $40,474.00 188.3 Hours $214.94 Per Hour
1 : 3 $42,099.00 573.5 Hours $73.41 Per Hour
1 : 4 $42,099.00 1,105.3 Hours $38.09 Per Hour
1 : 5 $40,849.00 1,607.3 Hours $25.42 Per Hour

Profit Efficiency Statistics:

Net profit is based on a fixed risk of $125.00 per setup and includes
estimated commissions, spread and slippage totaling $11.75 per setup.
The analysis includes 332 setups.

Net Profit Per Combined Trade Hour is calculated by dividing total net
profit by the combined recorded duration of all winning and losing
setups. This measures strategy efficiency and should not be interpreted
as an hourly wage or the actual number of clock hours spent trading,
because multiple setups may overlap.

**Profit Efficiency Disclosure**

Profit-efficiency statistics are based on every valid SST opportunity evaluated independently. Net Profit Per Combined Trade Hour measures the statistical efficiency of all recorded setups and should not be interpreted as actual hourly earnings, wages, or realistic one-account performance because overlapping trades are included.

Realistic One-Trade-at-a-Time Analysis

This simulation shows which SST setups could have been taken
realistically using one account and only one open trade at a time.
Each reward target was simulated independently because larger targets
generally required more time to complete.

Target Total Opportunities Trades Taken Overlaps Skipped Wins–Losses Win Rate Net Profit Combined Trade Time Net Profit Per Trade Hour
1:1 332 246 86 208–38 84.55% $18,359.50 42.3 hrs $433.69/hr
1:2 332 154 178 113–41 73.38% $21,315.50 74.8 hrs $285.16/hr
1:3 332 118 214 68–50 57.63% $17,863.50 153.0 hrs $116.74/hr
1:4 332 81 251 43–38 53.09% $15,798.25 167.0 hrs $94.58/hr
1:5 332 73 259 28–45 38.36% $11,017.25 227.6 hrs $48.40/hr

Realistic Highest Net Profit: 1:2 Target

After removing setups that occurred while another trade was
already active, the 1:2 target produced the highest estimated
net profit at $21,315.50. The 1:1 target produced the highest
win rate and the greatest net-profit efficiency per combined
trade hour.

Realistic Execution Disclosure:
For each trading day, the earliest available setup was taken and
remained active until the selected profit target or stop loss was
reached. Every additional setup appearing before that trade closed
was skipped. After the position closed, the next available setup was
taken, and this process continued through the remainder of the day.Because each reward target produced a different exit time, overlapping
setups were removed separately for the 1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4 and 1:5
simulations. Results assume $125 of fixed risk and $11.75 in estimated
commissions, spread and slippage for every executed trade. Combined
trade time is the sum of the durations of the trades selected by the
simulation and is not an hourly wage or guaranteed earnings figure.
Historical results do not guarantee future performance.